The Perfect Prediction

prediction markets



  • Port:
    • Prediction markets are crazy cool.
    • If you had to design a method of prediction that resists being tested, this would be it.
    • Prediction markets only work with groups of people. Yet, the group knowing the prediction could change the outcome.
    • For all we know it predicts perfectly by destroying the perfection of its own prediction.
    • It is like only being able to find gold by turning it into lead.

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